Why does Russia take the side of Myanmar?
In the previous article, the issue of Russia was not drawn. Because Russia and China in Bengal Bay are not yet connected to Tanaporan. The problem of Russia's support to Myanmar may not be very important in the context of direct geopolitics, such as the two countries, but there is an indirect link. Due to its geographical location, there is no mention of the energy of Russia in the Indian Ocean or in the Pacific. The importance of Russia in Myanmar is to increase economic impact, especially by exporting nuclear energy and carrying out military equipment. Both Russia and India are working to strengthen their position by reducing the Chinese influence in Myanmar.
It is known for everything that ends in Myanmar's long-term monorail in 2015 and after the victory of Aung San Suu Kyi in that election. But the Suu Kyi party is in power, but she has no full power. One might say that the powers of the military force of Myanmar are still in some places. After 1990, the strength of the army increased. This force is used to combat 'uprising' in northeastern Myanmar. Aung San Suu has tried 14 ceasefire forces, but eight strong forces still fight. This war goes for independence or greater autonomy. It is known that the current ceasefire was possible by the Chinese influence. Because these rebels fight especially with the Myanmar troops with China's support.
China has supported Myanmar for almost five decades, but it has helped the rebels as a means to exert pressure on Myanmar if necessary. The same situation is still in place. Sanctions on Myanmar had the country's economy, including the army, almost dependent on China. But since the beginning of the 21st century, China's influence began to decline. There was no other way that Myanmar had no choice but to accept China's two-way policy on Myanmar. That situation has ended after Myanmar has been exposed. Since 2015, Myanmar has been very careful to reduce China's influence. Due to China's negative impact, India has begun strengthening its position in the Bay of Bengal. India fears that China can surround India from East-West. In the past, Rakhine China created a deep sea port and gas and fuel oil terminal, and in the same way, the gas and fuel corridor from Pakistan's Qasim port was brought west to China. Track line is made. However, as a result of the initial plan to extend the Rakhine railway to China, it is now suspended by the movement of environmental and local residents.
Although China-Myanmar has broken a bit in the past, China's influence on internal security in Myanmar is similar to that that rebel groups have fought with China's weapons. It is said that the Kachin rebel, the Tang National Liberation Army, the Sun State Army and the WAH China provide support to the army. These organizations have created safe areas in their place. In a recent article in the Asia Times, Bertin Linter discussed in one of his articles detail of tears on China-Myanmar relations in detail. In April of this year, in the Kokang area of San Province, the image of the Burmese army was damaged in the campaign against the rebels. In the war 32 soldiers and 412 soldiers died. In addition, the Myanmar Army's 66-light infantry department was almost wiped out in China's border at the beginning of 2015. The army had to attack air in an operation against Kachin State Rebels. For the first time in the attack, Russia's advanced military aircraft MiG-29 and MI 35 were used.
In the current war with the rebels in different regions, the power of the dragon is used instead of the army. For this reason, the air force from Myanmar goes to Russia. Currently, Myanmar can not rely on China, especially because of China's indirect influence on the rebels of Karen, Kachin and Sun. Myanmar's common border with China is 2,192 kilometers In the two areas that currently have the most conflict with the rebels, Kachin and San State have common borders with China. There are several rebel groups that are active in these states and their free zone. The United States has the United Wah State Army and they occupy about 15,000 square kilometers of territory. China-Myanmar (San State) border city 'Pangsang' is known as the black and white capital of the region (Source: Bertin Linter: Great East India, Great China, and Asia's Most Volatile Border). The United Wah State Army is not only equipped with small arms, they have armored personnel, other heavy weapons and multiple artillery forces.
In those circumstances, Myanmar could not go beyond theMyanmar's Memorandum of Understanding was signed in 2013 with Russia for the construction of a nuclear reactor. According to the agreement, two nuclear power plants are signed. Russia focuses on the oil and gas fields of Myanmar. The Russian government company Gazprom opened in Yangon In May, Mr Myanmar, President Hetin Kei, discussed the expansion of cooperation between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Russian investment and technology to lift fuel oil and gas in Russia. In this case, the President of Myanmar has given the duty to give all special privileges to Russia.
Military officials from Myanmar visited India to collect weapons from India. Russia and India - Both countries provide military training to the military officers of Myanmar. But anyway, Myanmar can not fully withdraw from China. Myanmar's long border and insurgency with China seems to be due to the geopolitical soft-hot relationship.
In view of the above discussion, it is clear that India, China or Russia is not considered important because of the national interest of the current Rohingya crisis. Because of geopolitical importance and competition in northern Myanmar, India and China are more important for Myanmar than Bangladesh to be affected by this crisis. It is seen in various information and analysis. Many analysts of India also believe that Bangladesh would have no hope in this regard.
China has not publicly agreed with Rohingyas contacts or militant activities. Myanmar's position is not publicly recognized. But the presence of Rohingya Muslims in this region is of the opinion that China is dangerous. China is still struggling to suppress Muslim rebels in the 'Uighur' region. Therefore, in any case in the future, a strong rebel group like Rakhine, Kachin, Karen or the WAH State Army China will be important. On the other hand, many political and international geopolitical experts in India believe that the presence of Rohingyas in Rakhine will be against India's interests if it is useful for future militant activities.
On the issue of the Rohingya, these three countries that are not next to Myanmar next to Bangladesh will be almost certain. Nevertheless, Bangladesh's diplomatic efforts to convince Rohingyas in the Rakhine area and at least convince interim initiatives about Bangladesh's demands to restore civil rights. These three countries must understand that a weak population can not be eliminated in the face of powerful state terrorism.
The Rohingya problem, however, has created a crisis for Bangladesh and there is a danger of increasing geopolitical competitiveness of major forces in this region around Myanmar. In that case, the situation of Rakhine and Rohingya in Myanmar is feared to be more complicated and if anything, it will be counted for Bangladesh.
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